The ISW previously reported that Moscow had adopted a new policy ordering officials "to not downplay the prospects of a Ukrainian counteroffensive".
In its latest assessment of the conflict in Ukraine, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) said Mr Putin's stance may indicate that the Kremlin is "learning from its previous failed approach to rhetorically downplay successful Ukrainian counteroffensives in 2022". The Russian president said yesterday that the counteroffensive had begun, claiming all attempts had failed so far and suggesting Ukrainian troops had suffered significant losses.ĭespite this, he acknowledged that Kyiv's armed forces still had offensive potential. Vladimir Putin's discussion of the Ukrainian counteroffensive marks a "notable departure" from his previously "distanced approach to discussing battlefield realities," military analysts say.
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Watch Bell's full analysis of the situation in Ukraine here. "We can expect some pretty fierce fighting around the frontline in the coming days and weeks," he adds. Ukraine's military will also want to push back Moscow's forces and make "steady progress," as well as look to punch through Russian defences, Bell says. "If they throw themselves at the Russians and don't make any breakthroughs at all, that'll not only cause massive casualties for the Ukrainians, it'll significantly undermine the West's confidence, undermine Zelenskyy's morale and confidence, but also Russian morale will increase and they'll potentially do a counterattack." The first is that "they mustn't lose," he adds. "We're seeing the overtures at the moment."īell explains that there are three objectives Kyiv will likely want to achieve with its much-vaunted offensive. Speaking to Sky News, Sean Bell said it looks as though counterattacks have "at least started," with mixed progress reported. Ukraine's counteroffensive appears to have begun - and it'll be a battle Kyiv cannot afford to lose, a military analyst has said.
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